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Boston College - Wake Forest Matchup
The ACC Atlantic Division title may be on the line on Saturday when Boston College (7-1) and Wake
Forest (7-1) meet in Winston-Salem, North Carolina. BC, Wake Forest and Maryland are tied for first
place in the Atlantic Division with ACC records of 3-1. Wake Forest will be coming off a 24-17 victory
over North Carolina. Meanwhile, the Eagles ripped Buffalo 41-0. The game will be televised on ESPN2
beginning at 7pm.
The Quarterbacks |
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Matt Ryan -- 59.8% comp, 1,661 yards, 9 TD, 4 INT |
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Riley Skinner -- 69.2% comp, 1,001 yards, 5 TD, 1 INT |
Top Rushers |
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L.V. Whitworth -- 518 yards, 4.4 ypc, 3 TD |
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Andre Callender -- 401 yards, 4.4 ypc, 1 TD |
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Kevin Harris -- 344 yards, 5.4 ypc, 4 TD |
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De'Angelo Bryant -- 293 yards, 4.2 ypc, 3 TD |
Top Receivers |
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Kevin Challenger (WR) -- 32 catches, 343 yards, 4 TD |
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Tony Gonzalez (WR) -- 25 catches, 304 yards, 4 TD |
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Brandon Robinson (WR) -- 19 catches, 286 yards, 0 TD |
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Kenneth Moore (WR) -- 17 catches, 216 yards, 1 TD |
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Willie Idlette (WR) -- 14 catches, 192 yards, 2 TD |
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Nate Morton (WR) -- 13 catches, 266 yards, 2 TD |
Top Defenders |
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Jolonn Dunbar (LB) -- 54 tackles, 1 forced fumble |
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Jamie Silva (FS) -- 35 tackles, 5 TFL, 1 INT |
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DeJuan Tribble (CB) -- 28 tackles, 3 INT, 5 passes broken up |
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Jon Abbate (LB) -- 62 tackles, 2 sacks |
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Josh Gattis (FS) -- 51 tackles, 3 INT |
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Aaron Curry (LB) -- 51 tackles, 3 sacks |
The Kickers |
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Steve Aponavicius -- 5/5 FG, 10/10 PAT |
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Sam Swank -- 12/16 FG, 21/21 PAT |
The Punters |
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Johnny Ayers -- 41.0 yards per punt |
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Sam Swank -- 42.1 yards per punt |
The Kick Returners |
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Jeff Smith -- 34.2 per KO return DeJuan Tribble -- 10.5 per punt return |
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Kevin Marion -- 33.4 yards per KO ret Willie Idlette -- 11.2 yards per punt return |
Final Analysis
As strange as it sounds, Saturday's Boston College-Wake Forest game could decide the ACC Atlantic
Division Championship. If Boston College beats Wake Forest on Saturday, they would only need home wins
over Duke and Maryland to wrap up the division title and guarantee a spot in the ACC Championship Game.
If Wake Forest beats BC, the Demon Deacons would control their own destiny in the ACC Atlantic.
Saturday night's game is arguably the biggest in Wake Forest football history.
A lot of BC fans were upset, an rightfully so, that Buffalo was part of BC's non-conference schedule.
As it turned out, the presence of Buffalo on the schedule yesterday allowed Matt Ryan to take an extra
week to rest his injured ankle/foot. This could pay huge dividends for the Eagles. Ryan, as always,
is the key to the Boston College offense. Ryan will have his hands full with several outstanding Wake
Forest defenders including junior linebacker Jon Abbate (preseason first team All-ACC according to Lindy's
and Phil Steele) and senior free safety Josh Gattis (preseason second team All-ACC according to The
Sporting News and Phil Steele).
The Boston College defense, which was shredded by Clemson and BYU, has played as well as any team
in the ACC over the past five games. During that time, opponents have averaged just 7.8 points and
217 total yards per game. The Eagles have been particularly stingy against the run. In the past
four games, BC opponents have averaged just 1.0 yards per rush. The Wake Forest offense has not put
up big numbers but they have been very efficient. The Demon Deacons have converted 40% of their third
down opportunities and have scored on 93% of their trips to the red zone (with 61% of those trips
resulting in TDs). Wake Forest quarterback Riley Skinner has thrown only one interception in 117
passes this season.
This could be a tough game for BC. Wake Forest has been a big problem for BC
over the past three years. BC lost to Wake in 2003 and 2004 and needed a miraculous comeback to win
35-30 last season. The home crowd will also help the Deacons. Right now the Eagles appear to be the
better team. The BC offense has functioned well under Ryan, the defense has improved rapidly and the
kicking game appears to be on the right track. Wake Forest is talented but I believe that their 7-1
record is a bit deceiving. Wake's seven wins have come against Syracuse, Duke, UConn, Ole Miss, Liberty,
NC State and North Carolina. According to CBS Sportline, which ranks all 117 D-1 teams, only one of those
wins came against a team ranked better than 81 (NC State at 55). Wake beat Ole Miss by 24, but their
victories over the other five Division-1A opponents were by an average of only 6 points. If the Eagles
don't commit costly turnovers or extend Wake Forest drives with penalties, I expect BC to win by 10 to 14
points.
Prediction: Boston College 24 Wake Forest 13
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Wake by the Numbers
Wake Forest is 7-1 for the first time since 1979.
Wake QB Riley Skinner has thrown just one INT in 117 passes
this season.
Wake has outscored their opponents 89-33 (+56) in the first
and third quarters but only 96-87 (+9) in the second and fourth quarters.
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Statistic |
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Offense - Run |
79 |
47 |
Offense - Pass |
37 |
107 |
Offense - Total |
57 |
98 |
Defense - Run |
10 |
29 |
Defense - Pass |
95 |
69 |
Defense - Tot |
45 |
48 |
Offensive Lines |
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Avg Height |
6'4" |
6'4" |
Avg Weight |
306 |
305 |
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